YOU CAN'T PREDICT FIRE.
BUT YOU CAN TRADE ON IT.
The first prediction market for California wildfire. County, city, and census tract — every region priced in real time.
Join the WaitlistCALIFORNIA BURNS. EVERY YEAR.
And it's getting worse. The question isn't if — it's where and when.
0+
fires per year
in California alone
0+
acres burned
annually on average
$0B+
in damages
dollars, every fire season
Prediction markets harness the wisdom of crowds to surface what models and satellites might miss. Wyldfyre turns collective intelligence into better wildfire forecasting — one trade at a time.
What if you could trade on
what fire does next?
County · City · Census Tract — markets at every level of geography.
HOW IT WORKS
BROWSE THE MAP
Explore California at county, city, and census tract level. Live satellite data, fire perimeters, and hotspot detection — all on one map.
PICK YOUR REGION
Click any region to see its market. Will fire intersect this area this month? Every polygon is priced based on real-time crowd consensus.
EXECUTE THE TRADE
Buy YES or NO shares in seconds. Sell anytime at the current market price. Markets settle automatically based on actual fire perimeter data.
REAL DATA. REAL STAKES.
Every market is backed by verified geospatial data.
Satellite Fire Detection
NASA FIRMS hotspot data refreshed multiple times daily. See heat signatures before they make the news.
Live Fire Perimeters
NIFC perimeter data mapped in real time. Markets settle based on whether fire actually intersects a region.
Crowd-Sourced Forecasting
Every trade updates the price. Prices reflect the collective probability of fire reaching each region.
THE FIRE DOESN'T WAIT.
NEITHER SHOULD YOU.
Join the waitlist for early access to Wyldfyre.
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